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<a href='http://forum.udn.com/forum/NewsLetter/NewsPreview?NewsID=6257845'>熱錢來了 台股資金行情引爆</a>

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熱錢來了 台股資金行情引爆
6 Apr 2011, 8:59 pm

國際資金近期再度重返亞洲,外資昨(6)日即大量匯入,買超台股222億元,帶動台灣股匯雙漲,掀起新一波資金行情。

外資大幅淨買超,激勵台股大漲146點,台股昨日直接跳空大漲越過季線,以8,851點作收,成交量也放大至1,379億元;台北匯市昨日盤中急升,一度超過3角,終場大升1.7角,以29.15元作收,總成交量也飆上19.46億美元巨量。

據研究機構EPFR統計,3月24日至30日新興亞洲(不含日本)股票型基金淨流入4.11億美元,中止連九周淨流出,顯示熱錢正重返亞洲。

萬寶投顧總經理蔡明彰表示,由熱錢帶動的全球新興國家資金行情將重新引爆。分析師也表示,台股重演去年第四季三部曲戲碼,即央行先升息、新台幣再升值,繼而吸引熱錢入台、最後推升台股走高。

蔡明彰表示,台股強勢演出,最主要還是起因匯率,近期除大陸升息1碼(0.25個百分點)外,韓、泰及台灣也都有升息動作,市場預期歐洲最快本周也有機會升息,在匯率牽動之下,全球新興國家由熱錢帶動的資金行情將重新引爆。

據統計,亞股上周以韓國淨流入金額21億美元最亮眼,推升南韓KOSPI指數再創歷史新高。若以3月統計來看,則以印度獲12億美元注入,居亞股之冠;中國升息後,大陸的上證股市同樣重返3,000點。

富蘭克林證券投顧表示,4月以來截至5日止,外資在亞洲國家股市全數淨買超;累計今年以來,外資在泰國、菲律賓與印度股市已由淨賣超轉為淨買超。接下來要觀察台股昨日股匯雙升續航力有多久?

寶來投顧副總王兆立也指出,近日全球資金已有重新回到新興市場跡象,很明顯的,在熱錢力拱之下,台股權值成為盤面重心,只要新台幣持續升值,台股不排除有挑戰9,000點機會。

匯銀主管指出,昨天1個月期海外NDF折價幅度擴大至1.3角,顯示海外法人強烈看升新台幣,並重金押寶近日內就會見到「28」字頭。外資昨日單日買超台股222億元,為近期最大手筆的一次,頗具「股匯兩頭賺」的意圖。

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